Class: Bullish, Week, Reversal, Early

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Bullish

  • Focus on stocks that have corrected more than 10% in the last few months, but still have a two to three year up trend.
  • Look for recent relative strength to the market.
  • The potential up reversal should be forming above the two-year trend lines and ideally above the 200 day moving average.
  • The pullback should be the result of sector rotation or a drop in the overall market. Avoid stocks that are relatively weak within their sector and have recently released material negative news.
  • Rallies should be accompanied by volume increases.
  • Look for signs of strength by using technical indicators like RSI and Money-flow.
chart

Week

  • Look for fairly deep troughs within a two-year up trend. The trough will provide the stock with plenty of “head room” to move higher over the course of a week or two.
  • This trade may take days to unfold. Try to scale in and average your entry cost.
  • Give the trade some breathing room and don’t place protective stops too close. Longer-term support levels can be used for protective stops.
  • The profit/loss percentage per trade will be larger than it is for Day trades. You don’t want to get “shaken-out” of a sustained move so you must be willing to give the trade more latitude.
  • If overall market conditions are deteriorating, consider reducing the position.
  • If the move has not materialized in a week, exit the position and keep the stock on a watch list for future consideration.

 

Part 1 | 2 | 3 more pages...