EDRE Bearish, Day, Reversal, Early Trend
This search identifies stocks that have recently rallied and are now reversing
lower on an expanded daily range. Read all of the tutorials to get a feel for
what you should be looking for and then view the symbols to find stocks that
conform to this Set-up.
Stock Option Setup Search Criteria: Redline
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The average daily range has expanded recently.
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The average daily volume is greater than 300,000 shares.
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The stock has opened near its daily high and is trading near its daily low.
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The stock has traded higher the last 10 days relative to the last 30 days.
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The stock has traded higher the last 5 days relative to the prior 10 days.
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The last trade is lower than the 5 day low as of yesterday.
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The stock is currently trading below yesterday's close.
This stock is forming a significant Redline today. The Redline
is the result of an open near the high and a last near the low. From a relative
perspective, the longer the body the more significant the move. Note how this
stock has been trending lower in a choppy fashion.
The trade is considered early because it has not confirmed. In order to confirm,
the stock should close near its low of the day and preferably penetrate a
support level. In some instances the results will show stocks that are down
big. Use caution since a trade below support does not constitute a close below
support. As the end of the day approaches, it will become apparent if the stock
will close near its low and/or confirm. This is a nice reversal trade because
the reversal allows us to join the longer-term trend lower.
If we take a closer look, we can clearly see the support and resistance levels.
Until 10 days ago, the stock was in a nice downtrend. It based for a few days
and then had a big up day (Greenline). This could have been news related, or it
could have simply been a short covering rally. In any case, the rally lost its
steam and left us with a reversal opportunity. If the stock closes near its low
today it will have breached the 8-day low, and it should be shorted. A
protective stop should be placed at the blue horizontal resistance line. The
lower horizontal support level represents our price target.

These trades are considered Day trades because they are reversing a recent
short-term up trend. In some cases, the only sign of a reversal is the weakness
of the current day. You will see some candidates that have made very large
moves of 10% or more in one day. These trades are usually very effective,
however, it is often best to wait until the next day to see if any of the move
is given back on the open. Once the stock stabilizes and resumes its drop,
initiate a position. Often a longer-term chart will help you gauge the strength
of the stock.
This is a weekly chart, and it shows that the stock is range bound. Choppy
stocks make good reversal candidates. Seemingly every decent move is met with a
counter move. When you are initiating a short position, it is
important to look at a long-term chart to make sure that you are not betting
against a strong stock that is in a strong up trend.
This stock has frequently visited the blue support level and there is a good
probability that it will test it again. We are looking to profit from that
move. Within 3 days your position should be reduced to at least half its
original size. Remember, this is a momentum trade, and we are interested in
quick results.
Notice that his stock has also reversed a recent rally. The Redline today has
moved the stock through a short-term support level that has been formed over
the last 3 weeks.
This stock does not know what it wants to do. The large drop and subsequent
rally tells me that there is a great deal of indecision in the stock right now.
That greatly reduces the predictability of the trade and it increases the risk.
A short position at this juncture only has a short distance to travel before it
hits support. When you compare that profit picture to the magnitude of the
recent rally, another price spike could lead to devastating loses. This trade
has a very weak risk/reward profile.
Example of a Bad Stock Option Trade
This is a weekly chart of the stock, and it tells a much different story. This
stock is in a nice (but choppy) up trend and it has recently made a nice
breakout. The stock lost some of its steam and it is now testing that breakout
level. If you measure the distance to the support level against the distance to
the high, you can clearly see that the potential risk is much greater than the
reward.
This stock is very volatile, and it is difficult to tell what it will do next.
It looks like it will resume its rally, but that statement can't be made with
confidence. In these instances, avoid the trade and look for a more predictable
situation.