If you are trying to understand how much a stock may move per day, take the IV% and divide by 16.  So for a 235 MRNA call it has a 52% IV, / 16 = 3.25% movement up or down is expected and priced into the market.  3.25% of a $235 stock is $7.63 per day up or down.  so you can easily see that stock could go from 235 to 237 as example.  Hence as long as it has all the technicals in place you have a high probability trade with the cds.
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