Question for after hours…from a mental standpoint, how quickly can you reverse your thesis in the day. I had a neutral/bearish bias and lost my first put of the day. I managed the position well and saved face (selling against it into a spread, then legged out), but mentally it took a long time to come back from having tunnel vision looking for bearish plays all morning. I find myself missing out on the bulk of moves on days when I get the thesis wrong and fail to recognize it and adapt. Looking back on today (and last Friday where I was small green but missed out on so much), there were so many clearly strong stocks I could’ve ridden up (NFLX, META, TGT, etc) but I wasn’t in a place to do anything else until 3pm. Thanks in advance for any insight.
November 30, 20222 min read
Answer To add to what @Pete said – for me it really depends – If I have a strong thesis already, like I did a few weeks ago having a very bearish thesis, it takes quite a bit to disavow me of it – I need to see major technical indications that my hypothesis was wrong; however, that doesn’t mean that I can’t day trade the trend of the day. Is it harder to day trade bullish when my thesis is overall bearish? Yes – certainly – but my long-term thesis should not have much bearing on a trade that is 15 minutes long. But on days like today where I have no thesis other than – the market will chop around between the low of the year and occasional rallies up until new information is presented in Oct/Nov – then I trade exactly what the day presents.